Friday, 12 February 2016

Have Stamford landlords counted the cost of a Tory election win?


Can you remember 10.05pm on Thursday, 7th May 2015 ... with the shock news that BBC Exit Polls suggested the Conservatives would be returned with a majority lead?

The middle classes in First Drift and Tinwell Road exhaled a huge sigh of relief, as landlords, faced with rent controls from “Red Ed” and the Labour Party, now had something to cheer about as the Tory’s were always considered to be a party that accepted the importance of the rental market and supported its development whilst properly targeting the ‘lawbreaker landlords’ renting out below-standard rental accommodation.



Since May though, George Osborne announced future rises in stamp duty for buy-to-let landlords and a change in the interest relief on buy-to-let mortgages, some people have started to question that loyalty.

However, things could have been a lot worse for landlords, as previous ideas of making landlords pay more tax was the idea (which was seriously considered) of increasing Capital Gains Tax rates to the landlord’s own income tax levels.

If landlords would have had to pay capital gains tax of 40% to 45% on any uplift in value, I can tell you here and now, that would have made investing in property a non-starter for almost everyone.
However, I will admit the loss of mortgage higher rate tax relief will make a number of properties not stack up financially. The new rules are likely to slow demand in the housing market, which is in fact good news for the other landlords, as there is less competition from 'amateur' landlords offering too much.

Just a thought, but making Stamford landlords think twice and run their numbers more cautiously is not such a bad thing.

So looking at the numbers, the November figures have just been released and they show a growth of property values in Stamford of 0.3% over the month of November. That figure doesn’t surprise me due to the time of year.

It’s quite dangerous to look at one month in isolation, so looking at a more medium term view, over the last 12 months, property values in Stamford have risen by 5.4%, not bad when you consider inflation is running at -0.1%.
However, regular readers of the Stamford Property Blog know my passion for looking deeper into the stats. The really interesting information is the ‘value growth’, but what types of properties are actually selling in Stamford?  

Looking at all the properties sold, as recorded by ‘The Land Registry’, within 2 miles of the centre of Stamford in September 2015 (this data always runs a couple of months behind the house price data) compared to September 2007 (a couple of months before the credit crunch started to bite and the subsequent property crash).

No. of properties sold
Sept 2007
Sept 2015
Difference
Detached in Stamford
16
9
-44%
Semis in Stamford
17
8
-53%
Terraced Houses in Stamford
13
21
+62%
Apartments / Flats in Stamford
5
3
-40%

Now I have mentioned in previous articles that the numbers of properties selling in the town has certainly dropped post 2008, but what amazed me were the drop in the number of detached, semis and apartments selling in Stamford compared to the sales of terraced properties.
Less properties are selling than last decade in Stamford and the types of properties selling have changed ...interesting times ahead for the Stamford Property market!

Therefore, all I can say to the landlords of Stamford is do your homework, make sure the numbers do stack up, take advice and opinion from professionals and above all, for those of you planning to add to your portfolio, buy the right property at the right price, in the right location and put the right tenants in place!
 
If have a property in the area, or are considering purchasing one, please contact me and I would be glad to discuss it with you further.
 
David@upp-property.co.uk or call me on 01780 484 554
 
 


 
 

 

 

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