Friday 6 May 2016

Stamford’s ‘Generation Rent’ to grow by 307 households by 2021

The growth of the private rented sector, and the arrival of an investor class of buy-to-let landlords within it, is an issue that won’t be going away anytime soon, no matter what you read in the newspapers”, I said, as I chatted over a coffee with a landlord of mine at Javawocky coffee shop on the High Street in Stamford.

Whether you are a landlord of mine (or not as the case maybe), I am always happy to look over any properties you are thinking of buying for buy-to-let purposes, and more so over a coffee!

Some commentators are saying buy-to-let is about to die, with the new stamp duty changes and how mortgage tax relief will be calculated.  Some say 500,000 rental properties will flood the market nationally in the next 12 months as landlords leave the rental market.

Have you heard the phrase ‘Bad News Sells Newspapers’? Let me explain why buy-to-let in Stamford is only going in one direction – and not the direction the papers say they are going.

According to Sheffield University, buy-to-let landlords will continue fuelling the growth of the private rented sector in the coming decades. By their estimates (and they are considered a centre of excellence on the topic), the rate of homeownership nationally will fall to 50% (today it is 66.3% in Stamford) by 2032, while the rate of private sector renting will increase to 35% (interestingly, in Stamford it stands at 16.6% today).

Therefore, the demand for rental accommodation in Stamford will grow by 307 households in the next five years ... and these are the reasons why, irrespective of the distractions set out in the newspapers:-

Stamford property values over the last six years have risen a lot more than average wages/salaries, and as homeownership and mortgage availability is dependent on your ability to pay, this has served to push home ownership further out of reach for many, and at a time when the stock of council houses has actually withered. (Nationally, the number of council houses in the last ten years has dropped from 3.16m to 2.18m households - a drop of 31.1%).

Now it’s true the Tory’s efforts to fix the deficiency of affordable housing have focused on those who want to buy a home, ranging from ‘Help to Buy’ and their much vaunted ‘Help to Buy ISA’, and ‘Starter Homes Scheme’ - an initiative offering a 20% discount for first time buyers.  However, if you are unable to save for the deposit, none of this means anything to the ‘20 something’s’ of Stamford - and they still need a roof over their heads!

Currently, 3,070 people live in private rented accommodation in Stamford

 These are big numbers and a sizeable chunk of the electorate. So whilst it appears Stamford’s “Generation Rent” youngsters will continue to rent and to not to buy for the reasons set out above, Stamford’s buy-to-let landlords will be lifted by the projections of greater rental demand.

Stamford and its surrounding area still offers the prospect of strong economic growth forecasts and has a reputation as a lively and desirable place to live, and with the new rules on tax, more and more landlords will be looking to move away from the previous honeypot of central London, because its higher prices meant lower rental yields.

So, by 2021, the number of rental properties in Stamford will rise to 2,111

This prediction in growth of the Stamford rental market is even on the back of the government clamping down on tax reliefs for landlords.

Gone are the days of making guaranteed returns on BTL property. For the last 20 to 30 years, irrespective of which property you bought, making decent money on buy-to-let property was like ‘shooting fish in a barrel’ – anyone could do it.  But not now. You must take a more considered approach to your existing and future portfolio, especially in Stamford.

The balance of capital growth and yield, especially in this low interest rate world we live in, means Stamford landlords need to do more homework to ensure the investment in property gives the desired returns.

One place for Stamford landlords and homeowners to visit for such information is the Stamford Property Market Blog.  www.rutlandandstamfordpropertyblog.co.uk

If you have any questions regarding an existing investment property you own, or if you are keen to find out the current market value of your property, please contact me and I would be glad to discuss it together with you. 

I look forward to hearing from you.

 


David Crooke
MD of UPP Property Agents
Email: david@upp-property.co.uk
Tel: 01780 484 554

Twitter: @UPPproperty                                                     www.upp-property.co.uk      
LinkedIn: David Crooke                                    



Data: Office of National Statistics, Census, Sheffield University

 

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