All the political parties promised so much on the housing
front in their General Election manifestos.
In hindsight, irrespective of which party, they seldom deliver on those
promises.
Policing, NHS, Education, Tax and Pensions etc., are always
headline grabbing stuff. However,
housing - which affects all our lives, gets the ‘Cinderella’ treatment and always
seems to get left behind and forgotten. Nonetheless,
the way the politicians act on housing can have a fundamental effect on the wellbeing
of the UK plc and the nation as a whole.
One policy that comes to mind is Margaret Thatcher’s Council
House sell off in the 1980’s, when around 1.4m council houses went from public ownership
to private ownership. It was a great
vote winner at the time (it helped Thatcher
win 3 General Elections in a row) but it has meant the current generation
of 20-somethings don’t have that option of going into a council house. This has been a huge contributing factor in
the rise of the private renting and buy-to-let over the last 15 years.
Nevertheless, looking back to the start of the Millennium, Labour
set the national target for new house building at 200,000 new homes a year (and
at one point that increased to 240,000
under Gordon Brown for a couple of years). In terms of what was actually built, the
figures did rise in the mid Noughties from 186,000 properties built in 2004 to
an impressive 224,000 in 2007 (the highest since the early 1980’s) as the
economy grew.
Then the ‘Credit
Crunch’ hit. It is interesting that the
2010 Cameron/Clegg government did things a little differently. The fallout of the Credit Crunch meant a lot
less homes were built, so instead of tackling that head on, the coalition side-stepped the target of the number
of new homes to build and offered a £400m fund to help kick start the housing
market (a figure that was a drop in the ocean when you consider an average UK
property was worth around £230,000 in 2010). The number of new houses being built completed
dipped from 146,800 in 2011 to 135,500 the subsequent
year.
It is commonly accepted that not enough new properties are
being built to meet the rising need for homes to live in, but how many are
actually needed? A report by the
Government in 2016, showed that on average 210,000 net additional households
will be formed each year) up to 2039 (through
increased birth rates, immigration, people living longer, lifestyle (i.e.
divorce) and people living by themselves more than 30 years ago). In 2016, only 140,600 homes were built ...
simply not enough!
Looking at the numbers locally in Stamford and the
surrounding area, we are not pulling our weight when it comes to building new
homes. In the 12 months up to the end of
Q1 2017, only 340 properties were built in the South Kesteven District Council
area. Go back to 2007, that figure was 790,
and in 1997 only 610 new homes and further back to 1988, 1,080 new homes were
built.
The conceivable
rewards in providing a place to live for the public on a massive house building
programme can be enormous, as previous Tory PM’s have found out. Winston Churchill in 1951, asked his Minister
for Housing (Harold Macmillan) if he could guarantee the construction of
300,000 new properties a year, he was notoriously told: “It is a gamble—it will make or mar your
political career, but every humble home will bless your name if you succeed.”
Isn’t it
interesting that the Tories remained in power until 1964! Mrs May will have to work out if she wants to be the heiress to Harold Macmillan
or David Cameron?
